|
Dateline June 16, 2001
What Is a ‘Good’
Energy Plan?
by Clif Holliday
Maybe after the last eight years of absolute inattention to our
energy problems, anything would look like a good energy plan. However,
past that reaction, perhaps one still should ask the question. I asked
my in-house expert, my lovely wife Babs, what she thought about
energy. She said, "I don’t have enough anymore."
This discussion started when I was recounting some of the recent
editorials and columns in the Star-Telegram. It seems they think that
President Bush’s energy plan is terribly flawed. Instead of his plan
they suggest, somewhat vaguely, that we should be spending more on
conservation. They portray a belief that an emphasis on developing a
long term energy infrastructure is inherently evil. (Of course, one
may question the sincerity of their positions, because they react the
same way to any Republican initiative.)
While Northeast Texas has been more fortunate than many (luck
really has had nothing to do with it – just good energy decisions)
and we have been spared the extreme misfortunes of California, we
still have had our energy shocks recently:
- Gasoline prices have spiked to nearly $2.00 a gallon for
premium.
- Natural Gas prices are at all time highs.
- TXU has just recently indicated that summer cooling bills would
be 20%-30% higher than last year.
- We are uncertain about the impact of de-regulation of
electricity.
- Most recently, Tom Thumb has dropped its gas discount from 5
cents (and sometimes 10 cents) a gallon to just 3 cents.
Continuing the conversation, I explained, ‘No, I mean energy that
runs our house and cars."
After a minute, she replied (in a tone that said I should have
known the obvious answer,) "I just want to be cool in the summer
and warm in the winter, and I’d like my electric bill to be as low
as possible." (She doesn’t think about gasoline, because it
mysteriously appears in her car.)
I believe in this answer is a gem of truth, that our politicians
and ‘energy experts’ seem to miss. (Particularly the experts that
qualify everything with something like, "…yes, but we
need to do something, but that may endanger the snail darters (or
whales, or whatever is in fashion today.") The gem, and real
point of Babs’ comment, is that every plan needs an objective or
goal. The goal Babs was espousing was simple, and one that I believe
most Americans would agree – The goal of our energy plan should
be to have plenty of cheap energy for everyone. Naturally,
we will qualify this to say that we will make only sensible (and
sensibly evaluated) tradeoffs with environmental issues, but the goal
should remain cheap, abundant energy.
As noted above President Bush’s recently announced energy plan
has been criticized by the ‘experts’ of one of our local papers,
as not containing ‘enough’ conservation. (Although by some ways of
counting, it had more conservation measures than anything else.) Much
of this criticism seems to center on the failure to emphasize a
particular author’s favorite conservation approach. The President’s
plan has even been criticized because it dared to notice that we have
developed a major shortage of infrastructure regarding energy
production and distribution – the things necessary to assure an
abundance of cheap energy.
It is this last point that really is the nub of the arguments. It
seems to come down to a disagreement between those who advocate
conservation and those who advocate efficiency. These two words have
come to have special meanings. In the old world if one used a more
efficient process, then he conserved energy, and thus was a
conservationist, but no more.
In today’s world, the ‘conservationists’ are only interested
in not using energy (and especially not doing anything that may make
more energy available.) Cheap, abundant energy is an anathema to their
goals. They seem to take their position as if they have the only ‘truth’
and any one who dares to suggest anything contrary is crazy. We have a
wonderful example of the results of this thinking in California today.
They wouldn’t allow new power plants for ten years: they refused to
build new high lines in their state: they wouldn’t allow large
enough pipe lines to be built to bring in natural gas; they wouldn’t
allow off-shore drilling. What they have done is become one of the
most conserving states in the Union. (They ranked second only to Rhode
Island in per capita electricity usage according to one
conservationist group.) This extensive conservation hasn’t helped
them.
California is now learning the real meaning of conservation – don’t
use energy. High prices are the most direct way to achieve
conservation (remember Gore’s support for permanent $2.00 plus gas
in his book.) Now that energy prices have really gone up, California
is learning a real conservation lesson. It is reported that this state
(as noted, already one of the most conserving in the country) has
reduced its use of electricity by 11% since the first of 2001. .
Efficiency means using less power to do the same job. (To really
draw the comparison, conservation has come to mean not doing the job
at all.) Efficiency does not imply a moral judgment about the inherent
‘goodness’ of the job. It is rather just a measure of the energy
expended to do a particular job.
As one last example of the difference between conservation and
efficiency, I just recently purchased my second SUV. The new vehicle
has gas mileage that is about 50% better than the old one, so it is
very efficient in terms of the job to be done (providing the kind of
transportation I want.) However, in the view of the conservationist,
it is an extreme waste of gasoline for me to have the SUV at all. In
their view I should be driving a Yugo (or something similar – tiny,
uncomfortable, and underpowered.) Still better, in the view of some of
the more radical conservationists, I should be walking.
So what makes a ‘good’ energy plan? I obviously can’t answer
the question in the few words of a short note, but there certainly is
one point that can be made. As with any plan, the first priority is to
understand the desired goal. If conservation is one of the goals (as
conservation has come to be understood) it means that the goal is to
not use energy.
My view is that the goal of a national energy plan should
primarily, be to have an abundant supply of cheap energy for all.
The availability of energy is the prerequisite for economic growth. Of
course, the plan should consider the most efficient ways (including
all kinds of ‘new’ technologies) of developing energy resources;
of producing energy; and of distributing it. The plan should also
consider, in some reasoned, balanced way, any environmental impacts
(and there are always environmental impacts – the question is being
able to unemotionally evaluate these impacts, and of using the best
technology to efficiently ameliorate those impacts, where justified.)
As Babs said, "Cool in the summer, warm in winter, and keep my
electric bill low."
|